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Victorian State Election 2022

If the opinion polls and betting markets are to be believed, the Labor Party will be returned to government for a third term on November 26. It is certainly true that in the course of the campaign the Coalition has narrowed the odds, but Labor has started with a significant majority (Labor 55, Coalition 27, Greens 3, Independent 3). A key (and strange) decision of the Coalition was to put Labor last in preferences, even behind extremist parties and the Greens; the last time they did that they elected Adam Bandt, who has been there since.

Victorian State Election Odds

I have gone through the current betting odds on Sportsbet, on the assumption that professional agencies don’t like to lose money. Sometimes, of course, they get it wrong (e.g., late swing to the governing party in the Federal election of 2019), and odds may change over the next several days.

Africa's History: Lest We Forget

Fernando M. Gonçalves

Lest We Forget: On this day in 1884, 13 European nations shamelessly gathered in Berlin to parcel out the African continent like famished school children (on a school trip) haphazardly dividing up a pizza. Great Britain was represented by Sir Edward Malet (Ambassador to the German Empire). The US, the emerging but reluctant superpower, had a delegate - the explorer Henry Morton Stanley.

The Collapsing Liberal Vote in Victoria

The latest opinion poll from Resolve shows Victorian Labor polling at a primary of 42% (1 percent down from four years ago) whilst the Liberals are at 28% (down 7 percent).

https://www.theage.com.au/politics/victoria/labor-heading-for-danslide-2...

The reason for this is relatively simple.

Labor's vote has dipped a little, but where it dips it tends to go to the Greens, which flows back to Labor on a TPP basis.

Minutes to Midnight

The President of Russia, Vladimir Putin, does not believe that Ukrainians are a separate nationality from Russians and therefore re-integrating Ukraine into Russia is justified, regardless of the will of the people who actually live there. This ideological justification is used for the strategic and economic gains that Putin and his allies assume will flow from the annexation of Ukraine, starting in 2014 (with Crimea) and most recently with the "special military operation" of this year.

Myanmar : URGENT ACTION to stop military junta

Since its 2020 coup that toppled Myanmar's democratic government, the military junta has killed more than 2,000 civilians including trade unionists and children, arrested more than 14,000, and displaced more than 1 million people.

Meditation: a lifeline to sanity in a world gone crazy

Meditation: a lifeline to sanity in a world gone crazy

Belarus: Biggest attack on a trade union in Europe this century

April 19 was marked a black day in the history of the independent trade union movement in Belarus. The State Security Service (KGB) arrested more than a dozen trade union activists, including almost all the Union leaders.

Among them were President of Congress of Democratic Trade Unions (BKDP) Alexandr Yarashuk, vice-president Siarhei Antusevich, and the head of the Free Belarusian Trade Union Mikalaj Sharakh. One of them, the head of Free Trade Union of Metal Workers (SPM) Aliaksandr Bukhvostau, had a heart problem and was taken to the hospital.

A Super Housing Scam

It should be clear that Australia's housing system is in a broken state, and this much was pointed out for years. The increase in housing prices is now 20 percentage points higher than the increase in wages in 2021. Housing has become increasingly unaffordable and renters are punished by a system that concentrates more and more housing stock in fewer hands.

The Nuclear Threat

There are 14,000 nuclear weapons on Earth. The US has about 5.8K, Russia 6.3K, and the rest are distributed between France, China, the UK, Pakistan, India, Israel, and North Korea*.

There are about 4,500 cities with at least 100,000 people. Even if you assume 3 bombs per city (as some are bigger than others), every city on Earth would be destroyed in an all-out global nuclear conflict.

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