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The Race To Deir Ezzor

I'm of several minds as to what the regime is likely to do here. First of all, I don't buy the idea that they have 6500 tribal fighters. Their numbers are probably much more limited than that, and I doubt they have the manpower to really properly hold these long front lines. In particular, I suspect that capturing the Rusafah-Palmyra road would be less beneficial than South Front thinks, because the lack of manpower will make the encirclement porous. I have the feeling that the regime is going to become bogged down in the desert, which is a problem for them because they want to get to Ma'adan and Deir az Zor before the Kurds. It looks like they are trying to capture the road, but it may lead to problems later.

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