Oil and the Left bank of the Euphrates

I had realized so many of the oil fields were on the left bank of the Euphrates. There's no way in hell the regime will let the Kurds cross south of the Khabur. The question is whether the regime is willing to accept the Kurds taking the three oil fields to the north of it. Kurdish forces are only a few kilometers away from the closest one, so the regime would need to cross the Euphrates as soon as possible in order to secure them. This also makes it considerably less likely that they'll cross at Mayadeen, since it would take too long to secure the town.

Looking at the area north of the Khabur in Wikimapia, I'm very skeptical that the regime will be able to take the oil infrastructure before the Kurds. The Kurds just need to cross a few farms and they'll reach the central processing facilities for two of the four oil fields. The regime needs to cross both the river and the built-up areas around the river, which will be much more time consuming. (Although the regime does have a lot more resources at its disposal here.)

If I had to choose a strategy for the regime, it would probably be going south, taking Abu 'Amr and Albu Mu'ayt, and crossing south of Tabiyah. There's a space there between two towns, the river isn't too wide or swampy, and there's a road going directly to the Jafra oil field's central processing facility. From there, they'd either go northwest to take the Tabiyeh and Isbah oil fields (if the Kurds haven't already reached them), or they'll go north, take the Atallah North oil field, and then either continue north until they reach the N-7 road or push northeast along a side road (or just the open desert) until they reach Suwar, which is a sub-district center. Getting to Suwar would pretty conclusively secure all of the oil fields south of the Khabur. Alternately, they may just take the Atallah North field, cross the Khabur right there, and then take the Ghewari oil field on the other side, which is the one farthest north. This would secure the oil fields sooner, but would probably result in the Kurds taking Suwar themselves, thereby securing the rest of the Khabur river.

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